Japan's real gross domestic product would fall by up to 5% by 2030 if the country phases out nuclear power and boosts renewable energy to 35% of its energy supply by that year, a draft report by a government panel showed Monday.
Japan's real gross domestic product would fall by
up to 5% by 2030 if the country phases out nuclear power and boosts renewable
energy to 35% of its energy supply by that year, a draft report by a government
panel showed Monday.
The panel has been considering scenarios for the future of the country's energy
mix since last year, after the Fukushima Daiichi accident raised doubts over
Japan
's
long-term plan to increase its dependence on nuclear power.
The report also considers a separate scenario to phase out nuclear power more
slowly, by 2050, in which real GDP is forecast to fall by as much as 4.1% by
2030, when 15% of the country's energy mix would still be supplied by nuclear
power.
The draft also includes scenarios to settle at a lower level of nuclear power
generation capacity and maintain the current level of nuclear capacity-- with
real GDP expected to fall by as much as 3.6% and 2.5%, respectively, in each
scenario.
The panel is expected to finish its discussions on Thursday and submit four or
five scenarios to the Cabinet. Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda and other
ministers have said they will decide on
Japan
's
future energy mix by this summer.
Since the No. 3 unit at the Tomari nuclear power plant on
Japan
's
northernmost
island
of
Hokkaido
was closed on May 5 for a planned checkup, no nuclear reactors have
been generating power in the country. Before the
Fukushima
accident, nuclear power produced about 30% of
Japan
's
electricity.
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