A steep hike in oil prices for Asian buyers of Saudi Arabian crude in January could prompt more oil to flow east from the West African market and Atlantic Basin, analysts said Tuesday.
A steep hike in oil prices for Asian buyers of Saudi Arabian crude in
January could prompt more oil to flow east from the West African market and
Atlantic
Basin
,
analysts said Tuesday.
Prices of crude from the world's largest oil exporter are set to increase for
most customers in January, according to official selling prices published
Monday by state-owned Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (SOI.YY), which is known as Saudi
Aramco.
But Asian buyers in particular are to be hit by higher prices, with the Kingdom
setting Arab light, medium and heavy crudes at record high levels for the Asian
market.
Market participants said that the steep hike could encourage Asian refiners to
turn to other sources of crude, particularly if other Middle Eastern producers
also raise their prices.
"We may see Asian buyers turning en masse to
Atlantic
Basin
and
West African crudes in the coming period," said JBC Energy in a note.
Traders in the West African market said it was possible that Asian buyers would
start to buy more crude from countries such as
Nigeria
,
which don't traditionally sell a lot of oil to the eastern market.
"If differentials get low enough, I'm sure it could happen," said one
trader active in the market.
Already signs have emerged that there is room for oil to travel unusual routes
thanks to the high prices in
Asia
versus
Europe
.
Last week, BP PLC (BP) surprised the market by booking a supertanker to take 2
million barrels of North Sea Forties crude to
South
Korea
, a trading route that is
rarely used.
"Demand from
Asia
is better in general for oil
than in
Europe
...the news BP took
North
Sea
crude to
South Korea
is an
example of that arbitrage," said James Zhang, strategist at Standard Bank.
He added that if prices in
Europe
remained relatively cheap, it could open the way for other crudes to travel to
other regions.
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